Conf = ACC ------ State = Y
Mascot = Orange ------ Coach = Gary GaitGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.6130219 home-field advantage = -0.97 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 H Boston University Patriot ( 8- 6, 93.9) 13- 6 207 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7- 6, 94.1) 20- 2 213 H Maryland B1G ( 7- 6, 96.9) 11- 9 221 A Harvard Ivy ( 9- 5, 95.9) 12-13 227 A Princeton Ivy (17- 2, 99.9) 7-11 301 A Penn Ivy ( 7- 6, 94.8) 9- 8 307 A Johns Hopkins B1G (10- 6, 95.8) 12- 8 312 A Air Force ASUN ( 7- 8, 90.5) 17-11 316 A Denver Big East ( 6- 8, 93.9) 13-12 322 H Georgetown Big East (11- 5, 97.0) 18-12 328 H Duke ACC (11- 5, 98.1) 16-15 404 A North Carolina ACC (13- 5, 97.9) 9-14 411 H Virginia ACC (10- 7, 97.5) 14- 9 418 H Colgate Patriot ( 6- 9, 92.0) 14- 7 425 A Notre Dame ACC (13- 3, 99.3) 11-16 501 N North Carolina ACC (13- 5, 97.9) 10-12 510 H Yale Ivy ( 9- 6, 96.3) 16-15 516 N North Carolina ACC (13- 5, 97.9) 13-11 523 N Notre Dame ACC (13- 3, 99.3) 7-15
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 201 H Boston University 13- 6 7 4 + 2.29 207 H St Josephs (PA) 20- 2 18 4 + 2.47 213 H Maryland 11- 9 2 1 0.34 221 A Harvard 12-13 -1 0 -1.70 227 A Princeton 7-11 -4 -3 -0.75 301 A Penn 9- 8 1 1 -0.85 307 A Johns Hopkins 12- 8 4 0 + 3.15 312 A Air Force 17-11 6 6 -0.10 316 A Denver 13-12 1 2 -1.76 322 H Georgetown 18-12 6 1 ++ 4.38 328 H Duke 16-15 1 0 0.56 404 A North Carolina 9-14 -5 -1 - -3.76 411 H Virginia 14- 9 5 1 + 3.87 418 H Colgate 14- 7 7 6 0.37 425 A Notre Dame 11-16 -5 -2 - -2.38 501 N North Carolina 10-12 -2 0 -1.73 510 H Yale 16-15 1 2 -1.33 516 N North Carolina 13-11 2 0 + 2.27 523 N Notre Dame 7-15 -8 -1 -- -5.35UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 523 N Notre Dame 7-15 -8 -1 -- -5.35 404 A North Carolina 9-14 -5 -1 - -3.76 425 A Notre Dame 11-16 -5 -2 - -2.38OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Georgetown 18-12 6 1 ++ 4.38 201 H Boston University 13- 6 7 4 + 2.29 207 H St Josephs (PA) 20- 2 18 4 + 2.47 307 A Johns Hopkins 12- 8 4 0 + 3.15 411 H Virginia 14- 9 5 1 + 3.87 516 N North Carolina 13-11 2 0 + 2.27
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 97.62 Power Rank................. 7 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 90.99 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 1 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7098 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 1 RPI Rating............... .6514 RPI Rank................... 5 Champ. Probability ...... 2.2 Championship Rank ......... 9 Selection sum ........... 10 Selection Rank ............ 3 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 110. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 4 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 130. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 4 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 6.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7