Conf = ACC ------ State = Y
Mascot = Orange ------ Coach = Gary GaitGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.5317078 home-field advantage = -1.11 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 H Jacksonville ASUN ( 9- 5, 91.5) 24- 5 207 H Vermont America East ( 5- 7, 90.9) 13- 5 210 H Towson CAA ( 9- 6, 93.0) 18- 7 215 A Maryland B1G (13- 3, 98.9) 7-11 222 H Harvard Ivy (10- 5, 96.6) 14-15 301 A Utah ASUN ( 6- 9, 92.6) 15- 5 309 H Johns Hopkins B1G ( 6- 8, 95.4) 13-10 318 H Manhattan MAAC ( 6- 9, 88.3) 18- 2 322 H Colgate Patriot (10- 8, 96.6) 16-12 329 A Virginia ACC ( 6- 8, 95.3) 12-10 405 H Notre Dame ACC ( 9- 5, 98.9) 14- 9 412 N Cornell Ivy (16- 1, 99.9) 12-17 419 A Duke ACC (12- 6, 96.5) 7-11 426 H No. Carolina ACC (10- 5, 97.2) 12-14 502 N Notre Dame ACC ( 9- 5, 98.9) 14-12 504 N Duke ACC (12- 6, 96.5) 9- 8 511 H Harvard Ivy (10- 5, 96.6) 13-12 517 N Princeton Ivy (13- 4, 97.9) 19-18 524 N Maryland B1G (13- 3, 98.9)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 201 H Jacksonville 24- 5 19 7 0.00 207 H Vermont 13- 5 8 7 0.00 210 H Towson 18- 7 11 5 1.25 215 A Maryland 7-11 -4 -2 -1.64 222 H Harvard 14-15 -1 2 - -3.14 301 A Utah 15- 5 10 3 + 3.11 309 H Johns Hopkins 13-10 3 3 -0.30 318 H Manhattan 18- 2 16 10 0.00 322 H Colgate 16-12 4 2 1.85 329 A Virginia 12-10 2 1 0.81 405 H Notre Dame 14- 9 5 0 ++ 5.18 412 N Cornell 12-17 -5 -2 - -2.72 419 A Duke 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.06 426 H No. Carolina 12-14 -2 1 - -3.58 502 N Notre Dame 14-12 2 -1 + 3.29 504 N Duke 9- 8 1 1 -0.17 511 H Harvard 13-12 1 2 -1.14 517 N Princeton 19-18 1 0 1.28UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 A Duke 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.06 222 H Harvard 14-15 -1 2 - -3.14 412 N Cornell 12-17 -5 -2 - -2.72 426 H No. Carolina 12-14 -2 1 - -3.58OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Notre Dame 14- 9 5 0 ++ 5.18 301 A Utah 15- 5 10 3 + 3.11 502 N Notre Dame 14-12 2 -1 + 3.29
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 97.62 Power Rank................. 8 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 89.62 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 7 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7025 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 3 RPI Rating............... .6463 RPI Rank................... 5 Champ. Probability ...... 3.6 Championship Rank ......... 8 Selection sum ........... 12 Selection Rank ............ 4 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 115. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 5 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 120. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 4 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0