Conf = ACC
Nickname = NY Orange Coach = Gary GaitGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.6823883 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 203 H Vermont America East ( 8- 8, 90.1) 20- 7 205 H Colgate Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.0) 18-10 209 H Manhattan MAAC ( 8- 9, 88.3) 16- 3 217 H Maryland B1G (11- 6, 96.3) 12-13 221 H Utah ASUN (12- 5, 91.6) 18- 7 228 H Army West Point Patriot (11- 3, 94.5) 13-14 302 H High Point Atlantic 10 ( 9- 7, 91.3) 19-13 309 N Johns Hopkins B1G (11- 5, 96.3) 14-13 316 N Delaware CAA ( 9- 5, 93.0) 14- 6 320 H Duke ACC (13- 6, 97.0) 10- 4 323 A Hobart Atlantic 10 ( 4- 9, 88.6) 13- 7 330 A Notre Dame ACC (16- 1, 99.9) 12-14 402 A Cornell Ivy ( 9- 5, 95.4) 17-18 413 A North Carolina ACC ( 7- 7, 93.8) 10- 9 420 H Virginia ACC (12- 6, 96.9) 18-17 503 N Duke ACC (13- 6, 97.0) 13-18 512 H Towson CAA (13- 4, 94.3) 20-15 519 N Denver Big East (13- 4, 95.7) 8-10
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 203 H Vermont 20- 7 13 7 0.00 205 H Colgate 18-10 8 4 + 2.60 209 H Manhattan 16- 3 13 9 0.00 217 H Maryland 12-13 -1 1 - -2.07 221 H Utah 18- 7 11 5 1.24 228 H Army West Point 13-14 -1 2 - -3.92 302 H High Point 19-13 6 6 -0.09 309 N Johns Hopkins 14-13 1 0 0.64 316 N Delaware 14- 6 8 3 + 3.28 320 H Duke 10- 4 6 0 ++ 5.68 323 A Hobart 13- 7 6 7 -1.00 330 A Notre Dame 12-14 -2 -3 1.92 402 A Cornell 17-18 -1 0 -1.57 413 A North Carolina 10- 9 1 2 -1.13 420 H Virginia 18-17 1 0 0.50 503 N Duke 13-18 -5 0 -- -4.63 512 H Towson 20-15 5 3 1.94 519 N Denver 8-10 -2 0 - -2.99UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 N Duke 13-18 -5 0 -- -4.63 217 H Maryland 12-13 -1 1 - -2.07 228 H Army West Point 13-14 -1 2 - -3.92 519 N Denver 8-10 -2 0 - -2.99OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 H Duke 10- 4 6 0 ++ 5.68 205 H Colgate 18-10 8 4 + 2.60 316 N Delaware 14- 6 8 3 + 3.28
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.68 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 85.97 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 6 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6960 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 5 RPI Rating............... .6387 RPI Rank................... 5 Champ. Probability ...... 10.0 Championship Rank ......... 2 Selection sum ........... 18 Selection Rank ............ 6 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 70. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 8 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 60. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 8 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7